நிதி உதவி வழங்க !
UPI ID : enb@axis.com
UPI ID : enb@axis.com
https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/cr/2026/english/1lkaea2026001.pdf
Ceasefire or “Less Fire”?“a ceasefire means you fire at each other more gently.”– U.S. President Donald TrumpWANA News 06 June 2026WANA (Jun 06) – U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday, while explaining the overnight clashes with Iran despite a ceasefire and the Middle East’s fragile security situation, that “a ceasefire means you fire at each other more gently.”What Trump described was not merely a verbal slip. Rather, it reflects a broader principle that has characterized U.S. and Israeli conduct in recent regional conflicts. Clear examples of this pattern can be seen over the past two years in wars stretching from Gaza and Lebanon to Iran.In this sense, a ceasefire in the American and Israeli lexicon does not necessarily mean a complete halt to hostilities. Instead, it often signifies a reduction in the intensity of military operations.Iranian women walk past a banner with pictures of the late leader of the Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the late Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, on a street in TehranThere has been one notable exception over the past year: the ceasefire arrangement involving Yemen’s Ansar Allah movement. That case, however, has its own unique circumstances, which are beyond the scope of this discussion.Since the declaration of the end of the Gaza war in October 2025, this “Trumpian” logic has largely prevailed—less fire than a full-scale war, but not a ceasefire in its conventional sense. During this period, around 800 Palestinians have reportedly been killed and thousands more injured.The situation can be described as something beyond a simple “ceasefire violation” yet short of a broad war: a one-sided conflict fought with reduced but continuous firepower.A similar pattern has emerged in Lebanon. Following the ceasefire agreement of November 2024 and before the recent war against Iran, roughly 1,000 Lebanese were killed in what amounted to a one-sided conflict, despite no military response from Hezbollah.In effect, an attritional war has replaced full-scale warfare. Killing, destruction, and pressure continue, but instead of being concentrated over a short period, they are spread across a longer timeframe aimed at gradually exhausting the military and social capacities of the opposing side.Following the ceasefire with Iran on April 8, a maritime blockade began, while overnight confrontations in recent weeks have increasingly become a near-daily occurrence.These incidents are not merely isolated battlefield events. Alongside the blockade, they form part of a broader strategy of military and economic attrition designed to impose new realities during the so-called ceasefire period.If this trend continues—and provided it does not unexpectedly escalate into another major conflict—it is likely that efforts will be made to expand the geographical scope of this “less-fire” approach. What is currently concentrated in southern Iran, its surrounding waters, islands, and coastal cities could gradually extend into more central regions as part of the same prolonged war of attrition.ENB transmit analysts' perspectives. The publication of contributed articles does not necessarily imply approval of the authors', agent's viewpoints.
